Clear Thinking ...

What is Clear Thinking?

Clear Thinking

Everybody thinks they’re a clear thinker.

Yet we see costly Thinking Errors reported in the media EVERY SINGLE DAY, even by top teams.

There are no tests for Clear Thinking. 

You only find out if you've been thinking clearly - or not - by results, which may be too late. 

Our research into Why Strategies, Plans, Projects, Innovations, and Communications GO WRONG - all the way back to the Titanic - shows the main cause of failure to be avoidable thinking errors by planning teams due to INFLEXIBLE, UNCLEAR THINKING.

What is Clear Thinking?

 

Very interesting.
Wikipedia doesn't have a page defining Clear Thinking.

And most dictionary entries are useless (eg "the skill of thinking clearly").

 

Clear Thinking is thinking with precision and accuracy about a situation, task, problem, or decision, taking into account the many factors that can affect your thinking and subsequent plans, either positively or negatively.

♦ Factors that can affect your thinking include: 

thinking structure (you can think in an unstructured way, or you can work through a stage-wise thinking process),
mental flexibility (your thinking can be rigid, or you can flex between many different ways or Styles of thinking),
mental stimulus (use of prompts), enquiry, groupthink, ego, prejudices, biases, assumptions, ambiguities, beliefs, emotions, hopes, fears, pressures, perspectives, openness to feedback or comment, your subjectivity ... the precision and accuracy of your language

♦ Factors that can affect your plans include:

how they are communicated, other people's perceptions and reactions, changing circumstances (eg PEST), risks, unimagined consequences or events, competing plans, incorrect forecasts, inadequate monitoring or controls, ... the precision and accuracy of your plans/communications

 The really big issue

... YOU CAN'T BE SURE THAT YOU ARE THINKING CLEARLY

The key words in this definition are "precision and accuracy" and "taking account of the many factors ...".  Dictionaries often define the words 'precision' and 'accuracy' as being identical. But, in fact, they are two different concepts.

The cold fact is that you can never be certain that you are thinking clearly. You will only find out from the results - good or bad.

 "Great. So what can I do about it?"

Learn about our world-first Clear Thinking Process and Training to help you and your teams to think flexibly and clearly

... to maximise results and minimse the risk of costly errors.

Your best hope is to take all these factors into account and constantly be aware of HOW you are thinking, and how you should be thinking (metacognition). To help you, and especially your teams, we have developed a unique four-stage Clear Thinking Process and the world's first training course in Flexible, Clear Thinking

We design and facilitate a range of in-company training courses/workshops in Flexible, Clear Thinking aimed at Professionals, Managers, Leaders, and Teams.

We also design and facilitate Thinking Competency workshops aimed at HR teams and senior managers to review and develop an organisation's competency frameworks for a range of thinking skills required for particular posts.

See the links below.

 Why do intelligent people, especially teams, make simple thinking errors?

... errors that are often 'obvious' in hindsight.

Our research identified 10 causes of unclear thinking by people and teams, even by experienced senior managers. See Our Research.

Main reasons are:
- everybody thinks they are a clear thinker
- people don't think HOW they are thinking (metacognition)
- most people are not trained to think in more than just a few different ways (if at all) and rely on their own preferred (natural) thinking styles
- they don't deliberately flex their thinking across up to 30 different ways (Styles) of thinking useful in business
- they don't identify, and follow, a Thinking Process
- and they don't work through that Thinking Process, being sure to engage the right ways (Styles) of thinking at each stage

  Classic Cases from our research 
The Financial Crisis
and Recession.

Main cause was a massive GroupThink by virtually everybody in the finance industry world-wide. Only one major economist questioned the wisdom and risk of complex financial instruments and 125% mortgages and reliance on wholesale funds. Where was the Contingency Thinking (What could go wrong?)?

But there were several other thinking errors, not least being that a key oversight system, the Credit Rating Agencies, had an in-built conflict of interest - they are paid by the people they report on. This is a failure of Design Thinking and Controls Thinking.

 ITV Digital. £billion project failure - we counted 21 avoidable Thinking Errors. The big one was paying £millions to the Football League for the priveledge of showing (in effect) 2nd division football that few people would watch even if free. Poor Customer Thinking.
 Nasa's Challenger Space Shuttle disaster. Had the launch team stopped to think on that fatal day about HOW they were thinking they would have realised that they were stuck in the wrong way of thinking. They felt under tremendous pressure to launch the shuttle (Emotions Thinking). But had they recognised this, and then switched into the Risk Thinking style, they would surely have aborted the launch. They knew that the rocket O-rings were not designed or tested for the low temperature that morning. 
Millennium Dome.

Many thinking errors - all avoidable. First is poor Concept Thinking - what was it for? It took another 10 years to find a use for it. Then there were the dozens of Design Thinking errors, most notably having only one security checkpoint for the hundreds of VIP's and media editors on that freezing-cold opening night. Guaranteed negativity from day one.

Our Clear Thinking Case Study of the month.

 

Every month or so we analyse top news stories reported in the media to draw out valuable lessons in clear or unclear thinking relevant to Strategies, Plans, Projects, Innovations, and Communications.

In every study we identify good, or poor, engagement of specific Thinking Styles (whether by design or accident) and the exact stages in particular thinking processes where these Thinking Styles were applied or fudged.

For example, in one recent study we pointed out that an organisation has spent over 15 years working out the best operational system, and it has still got it badly wrong at a cost of £40million at least. Poor Design Thinking. See News.

  How to Think Flexibly and Clearly             
Flexible, Clear Thinking Training
Flexible, Clear Thinking Leadership
4-stage Clear Thinking Process

Flexible, Clear Thinking Teams
Flexible, Clear Thinking Competencies
Have a Demo Email us for an introductory discussion and demonstration of our 4-stage Clear Thinking Process applied to any aspect of your business.